Methods of Modelling and Prediction of Surgery Duration

Based on the analysis of foreign publications, a comparative characteristic of methods and models of prediction
of surgical operations duration was carried out. The importance of estimating the accuracy of prediction the duration of
operations for effective planning of the use of operating rooms and high-tech equipment is shown. Analyzed statistical and
regression methods to predict the duration of operations, and the use of artificial neural networks to estimate the duration
of an operation. Mathematical expressions are given, allowing to estimate duration of operation as a whole, as well as data
on prediction errors.

Authors: Chernega V. S. [4] Eremenko A. N. [4]

Tags: accuracy of prediction1 neural networks9 planning of use of operating rooms and high-tech equipment1 regression analysis2 statistical models1 surgery1 surgery duration1